How the Cold War ended - and the people who made it happenIn this penetrating analysis of the role of political leadership in the Cold War's ending, Archie Brown shows why the popular view that Western economic and military strength left the Soviet Union with no alternative but to admit defeat is wrong. To understand the significance of the parts played by Mikhail Gorbachev, Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher in East-West
relations in the second half of the 1980s, Brown addresses several specific questions: What were the values and assumptions of these leaders, and how did their perceptions evolve? What were the major influences on them? To
what extent were they reflecting the views of their own political establishment or challenging them? How important for ending the East-West standoff were their interrelations? Would any of the realistically alternative leaders of their countries at that time have pursued approximately the same policies? The Cold War got colder in the early 1980s and the relationship between the two military superpowers, the USA and the Soviet Union, each of whom had the capacity to
annihilate the other, was tense. By the end of the decade, East-West relations had been utterly transformed, with most of the dividing lines -including the division of Europe- removed. Engagement between
Gorbachev and Reagan was a crucial part of that process of change. More surprising was Thatcher's role. Regarded by Reagan as his ideological and political soulmate, she formed also a strong and supportive relationship with Gorbachev (beginning three months before he came to power). Promoting Gorbachev in Washington as a man to do business with, she became, in the words of her foreign policy adviser Sir Percy Cradock, an agent of influence in both directions.
How the Cold War ended - and the people who made it happenIn this penetrating analysis of the role of political leadership in the Cold War's ending, Archie Brown shows why the popular view that Western economic and military strength left the Soviet Union with no alternative but to admit defeat is wrong. To understand the significance of the parts played by Mikhail Gorbachev, Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher in East-West
relations in the second half of the 1980s, Brown addresses several specific questions: What were the values and assumptions of these leaders, and how did their perceptions evolve? What were the major influences on them? To
what extent were they reflecting the views of their own political establishment or challenging them? How important for ending the East-West standoff were their interrelations? Would any of the realistically alternative leaders of their countries at that time have pursued approximately the same policies? The Cold War got colder in the early 1980s and the relationship between the two military superpowers, the USA and the Soviet Union, each of whom had the capacity to
annihilate the other, was tense. By the end of the decade, East-West relations had been utterly transformed, with most of the dividing lines -including the division of Europe- removed. Engagement between
Gorbachev and Reagan was a crucial part of that process of change. More surprising was Thatcher's role. Regarded by Reagan as his ideological and political soulmate, she formed also a strong and supportive relationship with Gorbachev (beginning three months before he came to power). Promoting Gorbachev in Washington as a man to do business with, she became, in the words of her foreign policy adviser Sir Percy Cradock, an agent of influence in both directions.
Winner of the 2021 Pushkin House Book Prize
Introduction
PART 1
1: The Cold War and its Dangers
2: The Making of Mikhail Gorbachev
3: Gorbachev's Widening Horizons
4: The Rise of Ronald Reagan
5: Reagan's First Term
6: Margaret Thatcher: The Moulding of the 'Iron Lady'
7: Thatcher and the Turn to Engagement with Communist Europe
PART 2
8: Breaking the ice (1985)
9: Nuclear Fallout: Chernobyl and Reykjavik (1986)
10: Building trust (1987)
11: The End of the Ideological Divide (1988)
12: The End of the Cold War (1989)
13: Why the Cold War Ended When it Did
14: Unintended Consequences (1990)
15: Final Year - of the USSR and of Gorbachev's Power (1991)
16: Political Leadership and the End of the Cold War: Concluding
Reflections
Notes
Index
Archie Brown is Emeritus Professor of Politics at the University of
Oxford, a Fellow of the British Academy, and an International
Honorary Member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is
the author of numerous books on the former Soviet Union and its
demise, including The Gorbachev Factor (1996, also published by
Oxford University Press) and The Rise and Fall of Communism (2009),
both of which won both the Alec Nove
Prize and the Political Studies Association's W.J.M. Mackenzie
Prize for best politics book of the year. A leading authority on
Mikhail Gorbachev, he was the first person to draw Margaret
Thatcher's attention to Gorbachev (at a 1983
Chequers seminar) as a reform-minded likely future Soviet leader.
The Human Factoris in many respects the culmination of Archie
Brown's long and distinguished career as a scholar and writer. It
is full of a lifetime's achievement of wisdom and thought.
*Fiona Hill, Brookings Institution, Washington DC*
Brown's book is a superb achievement, a balanced, judicious and
authoritative account of a foundation event of our contemporary
world
*Christopher Read, Diplomacy and Statecraft*
A fascinating and instructive read ... Everybody will learn
something from this first-class book.
*Dominic Sandbrook, The Sunday Times*
A masterly survey of the end of the cold war and the roles played
in it by Gorbachev, Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher.
*Tony Barber, The Financial Times*
Lucidly written and scholarly.
*The Spectator*
Brown's study is a major contribution to our understanding of the
end of the Cold War: scholarly yet very readable and full of
memorable anecdotes about the three leaders. He shows that what
Gorbachev called the human factor allowed trust to grow between the
former adversaries, creating a unique opportunity for peace at a
time when the world teetered on the brink of nuclear war.
*PD Smith, The Guardian*
written with acute panache and a kinetic knowledge that spans the
subject matters entire era (and then some).
*, David Marx Book Reviews*
In The Human Factor, Brown zooms out from analyzing Soviet
decision-making and asks a broader question about why the Cold War
ended. Scholars have proposed multiple explanations for the Cold
War's end... but Brown encourages readers to focus on the
personalities at the top of both the Soviet party-state and Western
governments.
*Chris Miller, The Russian Review*
It is often a challenge for historians to find the right balance
between the human factor and the historical forces at play. The
value of Archie Brown's study [...] is that it does precisely
that.
*Christopher Coker, Literary Review*
...a thought-provoking book...I highly recommend this book to
readers. Brown is right to highlight the human factor in the ending
of the Cold War...the sharpness of many of Browns insights,
condensed with commendable crispness in this 500-page [make the
book an], eminently readable foray into a highly contentious
subject.
*Sergey Radchenko, Slavic Review*
What The Human Factor does do, and does so well, is provide a
fascinating new perspective on already well-trodden ground.
*All About History*
Brown devotes several fine-grained biographical chapters to the
"making" of Gorbachev, the "rise" of Reagan, and the "moulding" of
the "Iron Lady", and then traces the three leaders interactions...
The result is a compelling picture of what led [them] to act as
they did and how the difference each one made differed from the
impact of the others.
*William Taubman, The Political Quarterly*
... magisterial work... based on a wealth of sources in Russian and
English... The Human Factor is as much a fine work of foreign
policy analysis as it is Cold War history... a fascinating,
close-structured narrative.
*Christopher Hill, Cold War History*
The Human Factor makes a major contribution to scholarship and
policy analysis. Brown is the leading Western authority on Soviet
politics in the late Soviet era ... a shrewd analyst and
indefatigable researcher... Archie Brown's outstanding book shows
how the unanticipated end of the Cold War came to pass.
*Bruce Parrott, Journal of Cold War Studies*
The book is crammed with information, is well-written, and shows
that Brown has a dry sense of humour.
*SCRSS Newsletter*
Here and elsewhere, as he once did for the leaders about whom he
now writes, Archie Brown's scholarship can provide wisdom and
hope.
*James Graham Wilson, H-DIPLO*
Another tour de force from Archie Brown: detailed scholarship,
elegant prose and a clear argument. Read this book to find why we
should not ignore the human factor underpinning great historical
shifts. A fascinating account of how the Cold War ended, explored
through the personal interactions between three world leaders -
Gorbachev, Reagan and Thatcher.
*Bridget Kendall MBE, former BBC Diplomatic Moscow and Washington
Correspondent*
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