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In this introduction to probability theory, we deviate from the route usually taken. We do not take the axioms of probability as our starting point, but re-discover these along the way. First, we discuss discrete probability, with only probability mass functions on countable spaces at our disposal. Within this framework, we can already discuss random walk, weak laws of large numbers and a first central limit theorem. After that, we extensively treat continuous probability, in full rigour, using only first year calculus. Then we discuss infinitely many repetitions, including strong laws of large numbers and branching processes. After that, we introduce weak convergence and prove the central limit theorem. Finally we motivate why a further study would require measure theory, this being the perfect motivation to study measure theory. The theory is illustrated with many original and surprising examples.
In this introduction to probability theory, we deviate from the route usually taken. We do not take the axioms of probability as our starting point, but re-discover these along the way. First, we discuss discrete probability, with only probability mass functions on countable spaces at our disposal. Within this framework, we can already discuss random walk, weak laws of large numbers and a first central limit theorem. After that, we extensively treat continuous probability, in full rigour, using only first year calculus. Then we discuss infinitely many repetitions, including strong laws of large numbers and branching processes. After that, we introduce weak convergence and prove the central limit theorem. Finally we motivate why a further study would require measure theory, this being the perfect motivation to study measure theory. The theory is illustrated with many original and surprising examples.
Zentralblatt Math"Most textbooks designed for a one-year course in mathematical statistics cover probability in the first few chapters as preparation for the statistics to come. This book in some ways resembles the first part of such textbooks: it's all probability, no statistics. But it does the probability more fully than usual, spending lots of time on motivation, explanation, and rigorous development of the mathematics?. The exposition is usually clear and eloquent?. Overall, this is a five-star book on probability that could be used as a textbook or as a supplement." MAA online
"The book [is] an excellent new introductory text on probability.
The classical way of teaching probability is based on measure
theory. In this book discrete and continuous probability are
studied with mathematical precision, within the realm of Riemann
integration and not using notions from measure theorya ]. Numerous
topics are discussed, such as: random walks, weak laws of large
numbers, infinitely many repetitions, strong laws of large numbers,
branching processes, weak convergence and [the] central limit
theorem. The theory is illustrated with many original and
surprising examples and problems." a "ZENTRALBLATT MATH "Most
textbooks designed for a one-year course in mathematical statistics
cover probability in the first few chapters as preparation for the
statistics to come. This book in some ways resembles the first part
of such textbooks: it's all probability, no statistics. But it does
the probability more fully than usual, spending lots of time on
motivation, explanation, and rigorous development of the
mathematicsa ]. The exposition is usually clear and eloquenta ].
Overall, this is a five-star book on probability that could be used
as a textbook or as a supplement." a "MAA ONLINE "It seems that a
task to provide an introductory course on probablitity fulfilling
the following requirements arises not so rarely: (A) The course
should be accessible to studnets having only very modest
preliminary knowledge of calculus, in particular, with no
acquaintance with measure theory. (B) The presentation should be
fully rigorous. (C) Nontrivial resuilts should be give. (D)
Motivation for further strudy of measure theoretic probability
ought to be provided, hence to contetnoneself to countable
probability spaces is undesirable. R. Meester's book is an attametp
to shot that all these demands may be fulfilled in a reasonalb
eway, however incompatible they may look at first sight."
---Mathematica Bohemica
"The book [is] an excellent new introductory text on probability.
The classical way of teaching probability is based on measure
theory. In this book discrete and continuous probability are
studied with mathematical precision, within the realm of Riemann
integration and not using notions from measure theory???. Numerous
topics are discussed, such as: random walks, weak laws of large
numbers, infinitely many repetitions, strong laws of large numbers,
branching processes, weak convergence and [the] central limit
theorem. The theory is illustrated with many original and
surprising examples and problems." ???ZENTRALBLATT MATH "Most
textbooks designed for a one-year course in mathematical statistics
cover probability in the first few chapters as preparation for the
statistics to come. This book in some ways resembles the first part
of such textbooks: it's all probability, no statistics. But it does
the probability more fully than usual, spending lots of time on
motivation, explanation, and rigorous development of the
mathematics???. The exposition is usually clear and eloquent???.
Overall, this is a five-star book on probability that could be used
as a textbook or as a supplement." ???MAA ONLINE "It seems that a
task to provide an introductory course on probablitity fulfilling
the following requirements arises not so rarely: (A) The course
should be accessible to studnets having only very modest
preliminary knowledge of calculus, in particular, with no
acquaintance with measure theory. (B) The presentation should be
fully rigorous. (C) Nontrivialresuilts should be give. (D)
Motivation for further strudy of measure theoretic probability
ought to be provided, hence to contetn oneself to countable
probability spaces is undesirable. R. Meester's book is an attametp
to shot that all these demands may be fulfilled in a reasonalb
eway, however incompatible they may look at first sight."
---Mathematica Bohemica
"The book Ýis¨ an excellent new introductory text on probability.
The classical way of teaching probability is based on measure
theory. In this book discrete and continuous probability are
studied with mathematical precision, within the realm of Riemann
integration and not using notions from measure theory. Numerous
topics are discussed, such as: random walks, weak laws of large
numbers, infinitely many repetitions, strong laws of large numbers,
branching processes, weak convergence and Ýthe¨ central limit
theorem. The theory is illustrated with many original and
surprising examples and problems." ZENTRALBLATT MATH"Most textbooks
designed for a one-year course in mathematical statistics cover
probability in the first few chapters as preparation for the
statistics to come. This book in some ways resembles the first part
of such textbooks: it's all probability, no statistics. But it does
the probability more fully than usual, spending lots of time on
motivation, explanation, and rigorous development of the
mathematics. The exposition is usually clear and eloquent. Overall,
this is a five-star book on probability that could be used as a
textbook or as a supplement." MAA ONLINE
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