Preface
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations
1. Understanding War
2. Force Ratios
3. Attacker versus Defender
4. Human Factors
5. Measuring Human Factors in Combat: Italy 1943–1944
6. Measuring Human Factors in Combat: Ardennes and Kursk, July
1943
7. Measuring Human Factors in Combat: Modern Wars
8. Outcome of Battles
9. Exchange Ratios
10. The Combat Value of Superior Situational Awareness
11. The Combat Value of Surprise
12. The Nature of Lower Levels of Combat
13. The Effects of Dispersion on Combat
14. Advance Rates
15. Casualties
16. Urban Legends
17. The Use of Case Studies
18. Modeling Warfare
19. Validation of the TNDM
20. Conclusions
Appendix 1: Dupuy’s Timeless Verities of Combat
Appendix 2: Dupuy’s Combat Advance Rate Verities
Appendix 3: Dupuy’s Combat Attrition Verities
Notes
Bibliography
Christopher A. Lawrence is a professional historian and
military analyst and has participated in studies for the U.S. Army,
the U.S. Department of Defense, the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the
U.S. Air Force. He is the executive director and president of
the Dupuy Institute, a nonprofit organization dedicated to
scholarly research and objective analysis of historical data
related to armed conflict. Lawrence is the author of Kursk: The
Battle of Prokhorovka and America’s Modern Wars: Understanding
Iraq, Afghanistan, and Vietnam.
“War by Numbers takes the study of military history out of the realm of storytelling and simplistic interpretation into a realm of systematic and impartial analysis of available recorded data. This is an essential book for the theorist, the analyst, the war planner, and the war fighter.”—Maj. Gen. Nicholas Krawciw, U.S. Army (Ret.)
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